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Optimizing strategic substitution in soccer

Title data

Rambau, Jörg ; Richter, Rónán R. C.:
Optimizing strategic substitution in soccer.
2018
Event: 29th European Conference On Operational Research , 08.-11.07.2018 , Valencia, Spain.
(Conference item: Conference , Speech )

Abstract in another language

Consider yourself as the coach of a soccer team. You are in the lead, and the final 15 minutes of the match are about to start. Should you take out a striker and send a fresh defensive player onto the field? In this talk, a two-scale Markov Decision Process model (2MDP) is presented that captures the most basic aspects of this strategic question. In contrast to pure statistical methods to validate the historic success of various decision rules, the 2MDP approach strives to provide a-priori decision support for a particular situation depending on the individual skills of the players involved. Such an approach was first applied to beach volleyball by Hoffmeister and Rambau. A formal generalization of the 2MDP concept is explained in the succeeding talk by Hoffmeister in this session. In this talk on research in progress, based on Richter’s Master’s thesis, the first 2MDP modeling a strategic question in a team game with time-based duration is explained. Moreover, preliminary numerical results on artificial data are presented.

Further data

Item Type: Conference item (Speech)
Refereed: No
Institutions of the University: Faculties
Faculties > Faculty of Mathematics, Physics und Computer Science
Faculties > Faculty of Mathematics, Physics und Computer Science > Department of Mathematics
Faculties > Faculty of Mathematics, Physics und Computer Science > Department of Mathematics > Chair Mathematics in Economy
Faculties > Faculty of Mathematics, Physics und Computer Science > Department of Mathematics > Chair Mathematics in Economy > Chair Mathematics in Economy - Univ.-Prof. Dr. Jörg Rambau
Research Institutions
Research Institutions > Research Centres
Research Institutions > Research Centres > Forschungszentrum für Modellbildung und Simulation (MODUS)
Result of work at the UBT: Yes
DDC Subjects: 500 Science > 510 Mathematics
Date Deposited: 04 Oct 2018 10:28
Last Modified: 04 Oct 2018 10:28
URI: https://eref.uni-bayreuth.de/id/eprint/45942