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How will future climate depending agronomic management impact the yield risk of wheat cropping systems? A regional case study of Eastern Denmark

Titelangaben

Macholdt, Janna ; Gyldengren, J. Glerup ; Diamantopoulos, Efstathios ; Styczen, M. E.:
How will future climate depending agronomic management impact the yield risk of wheat cropping systems? A regional case study of Eastern Denmark.
In: The Journal of Agricultural Science. Bd. 158 (2020) Heft 8-9 . - S. 660-675.
ISSN 1469-5146
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1017/S0021859620001045

Abstract

One of the major challenges in agriculture is how climate change influences crop production, for different environmental (soil type, topography, groundwater depth, etc.) and agronomic management conditions. Through systems modelling, this study aims to quantify the impact of future climate on yield risk of winter wheat for two common soil types of Eastern Denmark. The agro-ecosystem model DAISY was used to simulate arable, conventional cropping systems (CSs) and the study focused on the three main management factors: cropping sequence, usage of catch crops and cereal straw management. For the case region of Eastern Denmark, the future yield risk of wheat does not necessarily increase under climate change mainly due to lower water stress in the projections; rather, it depends on appropriate management and each CS design. Major management factors affecting the yield risk of wheat were N supply and the amount of organic material added during rotations. If a CS is characterized by straw removal and no catch crop within the rotation, an increased wheat yield risk must be expected in the future. In contrast, more favourable CSs, including catch crops and straw incorporation, maintain their capacity and result in a decreasing yield risk over time. Higher soil organic matter content, higher net nitrogen mineralization rate and higher soil organic nitrogen content were the main underlying causes for these positive effects. Furthermore, the simulation results showed better N recycling and reduced nitrate leaching for the more favourable CSs, which provide benefits for environment-friendly and sustainable crop production.

Weitere Angaben

Publikationsform: Artikel in einer Zeitschrift
Begutachteter Beitrag: Ja
Keywords: Catch crop; DAISY agro-ecosystem model; preceding crop; straw management; temporal yield variability
Institutionen der Universität: Fakultäten > Fakultät für Biologie, Chemie und Geowissenschaften > Fachgruppe Geowissenschaften > Lehrstuhl Bodenphysik
Fakultäten > Fakultät für Biologie, Chemie und Geowissenschaften > Fachgruppe Geowissenschaften > Lehrstuhl Bodenphysik > Lehrstuhl Bodenphysik - Univ.-Prof. Dr. Efstathios Diamantopoulos
Titel an der UBT entstanden: Nein
Themengebiete aus DDC: 500 Naturwissenschaften und Mathematik > 500 Naturwissenschaften
500 Naturwissenschaften und Mathematik > 550 Geowissenschaften, Geologie
Eingestellt am: 21 Mai 2026 06:00
Letzte Änderung: 21 Mai 2026 06:00
URI: https://eref.uni-bayreuth.de/id/eprint/97252