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Land use change and ecosystem services in mountainous watersheds : predicting the consequences of environmental policies with cellular automata and hydrological modeling

Titelangaben

Kim, Ilkwon ; Arnhold, Sebastian ; Ahn, Sora ; Le Bao, Quang ; Kim, Seong Joon ; Park, Soo Jin ; Koellner, Thomas:
Land use change and ecosystem services in mountainous watersheds : predicting the consequences of environmental policies with cellular automata and hydrological modeling.
In: Environmental Modelling & Software. (2017) . - S. 1-17.
ISSN 1364-8152
DOI: 10.1016/j.envsoft.2017.06.018

Abstract

Integrated model systems that simulate land use and land cover change (LUCC) and associated changes of ecosystem services (ES) are increasingly important for supporting policies and management decisions. However, only few model frameworks exist that consider policy options as drivers of future LUCC and ES simultaneously. We present a modeling procedure that predicts policy-induced LUCC and ES through a combination of cellular automata (CA) and the Soil and Water Assessment Tool (SWAT). We employed this procedure to assess the efficiency of alternative policy instruments including direct payments and command-and-control regulations in mountain watersheds of South Korea. Our approach successfully captures spatial patterns of LUCC, hydrological processes, and the associated gains and losses in ES as well as potential negative externalities (“leakage” effects). Our modeling procedure provides an informative and robust basis for the development of decision support systems for mountain watersheds, where water provision and regulation are of particular concern.

Weitere Angaben

Publikationsform: Artikel in einer Zeitschrift
Begutachteter Beitrag: Ja
Keywords: Cellular automata; Direct payments; Fresh water supply; NetLogo; Regulation; Soil and Water Assessment Tool
Institutionen der Universität: Fakultäten > Fakultät für Biologie, Chemie und Geowissenschaften > Fachgruppe Geowissenschaften > Professur Ecological Services > Professur Ecological Services - Univ.-Prof. Dr. Thomas Köllner
Fakultäten
Fakultäten > Fakultät für Biologie, Chemie und Geowissenschaften
Fakultäten > Fakultät für Biologie, Chemie und Geowissenschaften > Fachgruppe Geowissenschaften
Fakultäten > Fakultät für Biologie, Chemie und Geowissenschaften > Fachgruppe Geowissenschaften > Professur Ecological Services
Titel an der UBT entstanden: Ja
Themengebiete aus DDC: 500 Naturwissenschaften und Mathematik > 550 Geowissenschaften, Geologie
Eingestellt am: 05 Jul 2017 06:15
Letzte Änderung: 05 Jul 2017 06:15
URI: https://eref.uni-bayreuth.de/id/eprint/38266