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On the Impact of TTIP in Southeastern and Eastern Europe : A Quantitative Analysis

Titelangaben

Larch, Mario ; Yotov, Yoto:
On the Impact of TTIP in Southeastern and Eastern Europe : A Quantitative Analysis.
In: Economic Thought. Bd. 6 (2017) Heft 3 . - S. 74-92.
ISSN 2049-3509

Volltext

Link zum Volltext (externe URL): Volltext

Abstract

Despite great general interest and significant controversy surrounding the completion and the potential impact of the Transatlantic Trade and Investment Partnership (TTIP), little attention has been devoted to the impact of this trade megadeal on the EU-member and non-member countries in Southeastern and Eastern Europe. To fill this gap, the objective of this paper is threefold. First, we want to describe the standard quantitative methods that are used to analyze the impact of trade liberalization. Second, we offer a detailed discussion of the decomposition of the transmission channels through which an initial trade liberalization shock (e.g. the formation of TTIP) will affect consumers, producers and total welfare in member countries as well as outsiders. Finally, throughout the analysis, our focus will be on the countries in Southeastern and Eastern Europe, including member countries (e.g. Bulgaria) and non-member countries (e.g. Macedonia). Our findings suggest that, while TTIP will lead to gains for all Southeastern and Eastern European TTIP member countries, their trade costs with the US are still high. Further Southeastern and Eastern European TTIP outsiders will lose, but losses can be mitigated by additional trade with Southeastern and Eastern European TTIP member and other closer Southeastern and Eastern European countries. Despite great general interest and significant controversy surrounding the completion and the potential impact of the Transatlantic Trade and Investment Partnership (TTIP), little attention has been devoted to the impact of this trade megadeal on the EU-member and non-member countries in Southeastern and Eastern Europe. To fill this gap, the objective of this paper is threefold. First, we want to describe the standard quantitative methods that are used to analyze the impact of trade liberalization. Second, we offer a detailed discussion of the decomposition of the transmission channels through which an initial trade liberalization shock (e.g. the formation of TTIP) will affect consumers, producers and total welfare in member countries as well as outsiders. Finally, throughout the analysis, our focus will be on the countries in Southeastern and Eastern Europe, including member countries (e.g. Bulgaria) and non-member countries (e.g. Macedonia). Our findings suggest that, while TTIP will lead to gains for all Southeastern and Eastern European TTIP member countries, their trade costs with the US are still high. Further Southeastern and Eastern European TTIP outsiders will lose, but losses can be mitigated by additional trade with Southeastern and Eastern European TTIP member and other closer Southeastern and Eastern European countries.

Weitere Angaben

Publikationsform: Artikel in einer Zeitschrift
Begutachteter Beitrag: Ja
Keywords: Structural Gravity Modeling; TTIP; Southeastern and Eastern Europe
Fachklassifikationen: JEL-Codes: F13, F14, F16
Institutionen der Universität: Fakultäten
Fakultäten > Rechts- und Wirtschaftswissenschaftliche Fakultät
Fakultäten > Rechts- und Wirtschaftswissenschaftliche Fakultät > Fachgruppe Volkswirtschaftslehre
Fakultäten > Rechts- und Wirtschaftswissenschaftliche Fakultät > Fachgruppe Volkswirtschaftslehre > Lehrstuhl Volkswirtschaftslehre VI: Empirische Wirtschaftsforschung
Fakultäten > Rechts- und Wirtschaftswissenschaftliche Fakultät > Fachgruppe Volkswirtschaftslehre > Lehrstuhl Volkswirtschaftslehre VI: Empirische Wirtschaftsforschung > Lehrstuhl Volkswirtschaftslehre VI: Empirische Wirtschaftsforschung - Univ.-Prof. Dr. Mario Larch
Titel an der UBT entstanden: Ja
Themengebiete aus DDC: 300 Sozialwissenschaften > 330 Wirtschaft
Eingestellt am: 16 Nov 2017 07:12
Letzte Änderung: 16 Nov 2017 07:12
URI: https://eref.uni-bayreuth.de/id/eprint/40393