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Exchange Market Pressure and Monetary Policy in Emerging Market Economies : New Evidence from Treatment-effect Estimations

Title data

Erler, Alexander ; Sirries, Steffen ; Bauer, Christian ; Herz, Bernhard:
Exchange Market Pressure and Monetary Policy in Emerging Market Economies : New Evidence from Treatment-effect Estimations.
In: Review of Development Economics. Vol. 19 (August 2015) Issue 3 . - pp. 470-485.
ISSN 1467-9361
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1111/rode.12169

Abstract in another language

The way central banks react to exchange market pressure is likely to affect the subsequent economic development and the associated economic costs. In a situation of currency pressure the central bank can in principle decide to let the currency float freely, to maintain the peg or to implement a managed float policy, i.e. a mix of depreciation and intervention. As the central bank's choices are subject to self selection and endogeneity, we use propensity score matching to adequately cope with these methodical challenges. We find that monetary authorities have two options to keep down the economic costs in terms of output, namely stabilizing the exchange rate or letting the currency float freely. In contrast, a managed float under currency pressure is accompanied by the worst possible outcome with an average loss of gross domestic product (GDP) between 5% and 6%.

Further data

Item Type: Article in a journal
Refereed: Yes
Institutions of the University: Faculties
Faculties > Faculty of Law, Business and Economics
Faculties > Faculty of Law, Business and Economics > Department of Economics
Faculties > Faculty of Law, Business and Economics > Department of Economics > Chair Economics I
Faculties > Faculty of Law, Business and Economics > Department of Economics > Chair Economics I > Chair Economics I - Univ.-Prof. Dr. Bernhard Herz
Result of work at the UBT: Yes
DDC Subjects: 300 Social sciences > 330 Economics
Date Deposited: 30 Nov 2017 08:05
Last Modified: 23 Nov 2018 07:46
URI: https://eref.uni-bayreuth.de/id/eprint/40597