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Seidl, Rupert ; Müller, Jörg ; Hothorn, Torsten ; Bässler, Claus ; Heurich, Marco ; Kautz, Markus:
Small beetle, large‐scale drivers : how regional and landscape factors affect outbreaks of the European spruce bark beetle.
In: Journal of Applied Ecology.
Bd. 53
(2016)
Heft 2
.
- S. 530-540.
ISSN 1365-2664
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1111/1365-2664.12540
Abstract
1. Unprecedented bark beetle outbreaks have been observed for a variety of forest ecosystems recently, and damage is expected to further intensify as a consequence of climate change. In Central Europe, the response of ecosystem management to increasing infestation risk has hitherto focused largely on the stand level, while the contingency of outbreak dynamics on large-scale drivers remains poorly understood.
2. To investigate how factors beyond the local scale contribute to the infestation risk from Ips typographus (Col., Scol.), we analysed drivers across seven orders of magnitude in scale (from 103 to 1010 m²) over a 23-year period, focusing on the Bavarian Forest National Park. Time-discrete hazard modelling was used to account for local factors and temporal dependencies. Subsequently, beta regression was applied to determine the influence of regional and landscape factors, the latter characterized by means of graph theory.
3. We found that in addition to stand variables, large-scale drivers also strongly influenced bark beetle infestation risk. Outbreak waves were closely related to landscape-scale connectedness of both host and beetle populations as well as to regional bark beetle infestation levels. Furthermore, regional summer drought was identified as an important trigger for infestation pulses. Large-scale synchrony and connectivity are thus key drivers of the recently observed bark beetle outbreak in the area.
4. Synthesis and applications. Our multiscale analysis provides evidence that the risk for biotic disturbances is highly dependent on drivers beyond the control of traditional stand-scale management. This finding highlights the importance of fostering the ability to cope with and recover from disturbance. It furthermore suggests that a stronger consideration of landscape and regional processes is needed to address changing disturbance regimes in ecosystem management.
Weitere Angaben
| Publikationsform: | Artikel in einer Zeitschrift |
|---|---|
| Begutachteter Beitrag: | Ja |
| Institutionen der Universität: | Fakultäten > Fakultät für Biologie, Chemie und Geowissenschaften > Fachgruppe Biologie > Lehrstuhl Ökologie der Pilze > Lehrstuhl Ökologie der Pilze - Univ.-Prof. Dr. Claus Bässler Forschungseinrichtungen > Zentrale wissenschaftliche Einrichtungen > Bayreuther Zentrum für Ökologie und Umweltforschung - BayCEER |
| Titel an der UBT entstanden: | Nein |
| Themengebiete aus DDC: | 500 Naturwissenschaften und Mathematik > 550 Geowissenschaften, Geologie 500 Naturwissenschaften und Mathematik > 570 Biowissenschaften; Biologie |
| Eingestellt am: | 14 Nov 2024 14:25 |
| Letzte Änderung: | 14 Nov 2024 14:25 |
| URI: | https://eref.uni-bayreuth.de/id/eprint/91128 |