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Mid-Century Climate Change Impacts on Ouémé River Discharge at Bonou Outlet (Benin)

Titelangaben

Lawin, Agnidé Emmanuel ; Hounguè, Rita ; N’Tcha M’Po, Yèkambèssoun ; Hounguè, Nina Rholan ; Attogouinon, André ; Afouda, Akambi Abel:
Mid-Century Climate Change Impacts on Ouémé River Discharge at Bonou Outlet (Benin).
In: Hydrology. Bd. 6 (2019) Heft 3 . - 72.
ISSN 2306-5338
DOI: https://doi.org/10.3390/hydrology6030072

Abstract

This work focuses on impacts of climate change on Ouémé River discharge at Bonou outlet based on four global climate models (GCM) over Ouémé catchment from 1971 to 2050. Empirical quantile mapping method is used for bias correction of GCM. Furthermore, twenty-five rain gauges were selected among which are three synoptic stations. The semi-distributed model HEC-HMS (Hydrologic Modeling System from Hydrologic Engineering Center) is used to simulate runoff. As results, HEC-HMS showed ability to simulate runoff while taking into account land use and cover change. In fact, Kling–Gupta Efficiency (KGE) coefficient was 0.94 and 0.91 respectively in calibration and validation. Moreover, Ouémé River discharge is projected to decrease about 6.58 m3/s under Representative Concentration Pathways (RCP 4.5) while an insignificant increasing trend is found under RCP 8.5. Therefore, water resource management infrastructure, especially dam construction, has to be developed for water shortage prevention. In addition, it is essential to account for uncertainties when designing such sensitive infrastructure for flood management.

Weitere Angaben

Publikationsform: Artikel in einer Zeitschrift
Begutachteter Beitrag: Nein
Keywords: climate change; HEC-HMS; Ouémé River catchment
Institutionen der Universität: Fakultäten > Fakultät für Biologie, Chemie und Geowissenschaften > Fachgruppe Geowissenschaften > Professur Klimatologie > Professur Klimatologie - Univ.-Prof. Dr. Cyrus Samimi
Forschungseinrichtungen > Zentrale wissenschaftliche Einrichtungen > Bayreuther Zentrum für Ökologie und Umweltforschung - BayCEER
Titel an der UBT entstanden: Nein
Themengebiete aus DDC: 500 Naturwissenschaften und Mathematik > 500 Naturwissenschaften
Eingestellt am: 06 Feb 2024 12:15
Letzte Änderung: 06 Feb 2024 12:15
URI: https://eref.uni-bayreuth.de/id/eprint/88491