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Spain, Split and Talk : Quantifying Regional Independence

Title data

Adam, Hanna L. ; Larch, Mario ; Paniagua, Jordi:
Spain, Split and Talk : Quantifying Regional Independence.
In: Regional Studies. Vol. 59 (2025) Issue 1 . - 2437501.
ISSN 0034-3404
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1080/00343404.2024.2437501

Abstract in another language

We quantify the economic impact of a potential secession of Catalonia from Spain. Using a novel dataset of trade flows between 17 Spanish sub-national regions and 142 countries, we estimate the effects of different levels of borders on trade flows and uncover heterogeneity in country-to-country, region-to-country, region-to-region, and EU border effects. We use a general equilibrium analysis to understand the consequences of a potential Catalan secession, considering the associated political uncertainty. In counterfactual experiments, we impose new borders on Catalan trade, potentially within or outside the EU, resulting in a welfare decline for Catalonia and the remaining Spanish regions.

Further data

Item Type: Article in a journal
Refereed: Yes
Keywords: international trade; regional trade; border effects; regional independence
Subject classification: JEL: F10, F13, F14, H77, R12
Institutions of the University: Faculties > Faculty of Law, Business and Economics
Faculties > Faculty of Law, Business and Economics > Department of Economics
Faculties > Faculty of Law, Business and Economics > Department of Economics > Chair Economics VI - Empirical Economic Research
Faculties > Faculty of Law, Business and Economics > Department of Economics > Chair Economics VI - Empirical Economic Research > Chair Economics VI - Empirical Economic Research - Univ.-Prof. Dr. Mario Larch
Result of work at the UBT: Yes
DDC Subjects: 000 Computer Science, information, general works > 000 Generalities, Science
000 Computer Science, information, general works > 050 General serials and their indexes
000 Computer Science, information, general works > 070 News media, journalism and publishing
000 Computer Science, information, general works > 080 General collections
Date Deposited: 16 Apr 2026 05:57
Last Modified: 16 Apr 2026 05:57
URI: https://eref.uni-bayreuth.de/id/eprint/96799