Integrated global assessment of the natural forest carbon potential

Titelangaben

Mo, Lidong ; Zohner, Constantin M. ; Reich, Peter B. ; Liang, Jingjing ; de Miguel, Sergio ; Nabuurs, Gert-Jan ; Renner, Susanne S. ; van den Hoogen, Johan ; Araza, Arnan ; Herold, Martin ; Mirzagholi, Leila ; Ma, Haozhi ; Averill, Colin ; Phillips, Oliver L. ; Gamarra, Javier G. P. ; Hordijk, Iris ; Routh, Devin ; Abegg, Meinrad ; Adou Yao, Yves C. ; Alberti, Giorgio ; Almeyda Zambrano, Angelica M. ; Alvarado, Braulio Vilchez ; Alvarez-Dávila, Esteban ; Alvarez-Loayza, Patricia ; Alves, Luciana F. ; Amaral, Iêda ; Ammer, Christian ; Antón-Fernández, Clara ; Araujo-Murakami, Alejandro ; Arroyo, Luzmila ; Avitabile, Valerio ; Aymard, Gerardo A. ; Baker, Timothy R. ; Bałazy, Radomir ; Banki, Olaf ; Barroso, Jorcely G. ; Bastian, Meredith L. ; Bastin, Jean-Francois ; Birigazzi, Luca ; Birnbaum, Philippe ; Bitariho, Robert ; Boeckx, Pascal ; Bongers, Frans ; Bouriaud, Olivier ; Brancalion, Pedro H. S. ; Brandl, Susanne ; Brearley, Francis Q. ; Brienen, Roel ; Broadbent, Eben N. ; Bruelheide, Helge ; Bussotti, Filippo ; Cazzolla Gatti, Roberto ; César, Ricardo G. ; Cesljar, Goran ; Chazdon, Robin L. ; Chen, Han Y. H. ; Chisholm, Chelsea ; Cho, Hyunkook ; Cienciala, Emil ; Clark, Connie ; Clark, David ; Colletta, Gabriel D. ; Coomes, David A. ; Cornejo Valverde, Fernando ; Corral-Rivas, José J. ; Crim, Philip M. ; Cumming, Jonathan R. ; Dayanandan, Selvadurai ; de Gasper, André L. ; Decuyper, Mathieu ; Derroire, Géraldine ; DeVries, Ben ; Djordjevic, Ilija ; Dolezal, Jiri ; Dourdain, Aurélie ; Engone Obiang, Nestor Laurier ; Enquist, Brian J. ; Eyre, Teresa J. ; Fandohan, Adandé Belarmain ; Fayle, Tom M. ; Feldpausch, Ted R. ; Ferreira, Leandro V. ; Finér, Leena ; Fischer, Markus ; Fletcher, Christine ; Frizzera, Lorenzo ; Gianelle, Damiano ; Glick, Henry B. ; Harris, David J. ; Hector, Andrew ; Hemp, Andreas ; Hengeveld, Geerten ; Hérault, Bruno ; Herbohn, John L. ; Hillers, Annika ; Honorio Coronado, Eurídice N. ; Hui, Cang ; Ibanez, Thomas ; Imai, Nobuo ; Jagodziński, Andrzej M. ; Jaroszewicz, Bogdan ; Johannsen, Vivian Kvist ; Joly, Carlos A. ; Jucker, Tommaso ; Jung, Ilbin ; Karminov, Viktor ; Kartawinata, Kuswata ; Kearsley, Elizabeth ; Kenfack, David ; Kennard, Deborah K. ; Kepfer-Rojas, Sebastian ; Keppel, Gunnar ; Khan, Mohammed Latif ; Killeen, Timothy J. ; Kim, Hyun Seok ; Kitayama, Kanehiro ; Köhl, Michael ; Korjus, Henn ; Kraxner, Florian ; Kucher, Dmitry ; Laarmann, Diana ; Lang, Mait ; Lu, Huicui ; Lukina, Natalia V. ; Maitner, Brian S. ; Malhi, Yadvinder ; Marcon, Eric ; Marimon, Beatriz Schwantes ; Marimon-Junior, Ben Hur ; Marshall, Andrew R. ; Martin, Emanuel H. ; Meave, Jorge A. ; Melo-Cruz, Omar ; Mendoza, Casimiro ; Mendoza-Polo, Irina ; Miscicki, Stanislaw ; Merow, Cory ; Monteagudo Mendoza, Abel ; Moreno, Vanessa S. ; Mukul, Sharif A. ; Mundhenk, Philip ; Nava-Miranda, María Guadalupe ; Neill, David ; Neldner, Victor J. ; Nevenic, Radovan V. ; Ngugi, Michael R. ; Niklaus, Pascal A. ; Oleksyn, Jacek ; Ontikov, Petr ; Ortiz-Malavasi, Edgar ; Pan, Yude ; Paquette, Alain ; Parada-Gutierrez, Alexander ; Parfenova, Elena I. ; Park, Minjee ; Parren, Marc ; Parthasarathy, Narayanaswamy ; Peri, Pablo L. ; Pfautsch, Sebastian ; Picard, Nicolas ; Piedade, Maria Teresa F. ; Piotto, Daniel ; Pitman, Nigel C. A. ; Poulsen, Axel Dalberg ; Poulsen, John R. ; Pretzsch, Hans ; Ramirez Arevalo, Freddy ; Restrepo-Correa, Zorayda ; Rodeghiero, Mirco ; Rolim, Samir G. ; Roopsind, Anand ; Rovero, Francesco ; Rutishauser, Ervan ; Saikia, Purabi ; Salas-Eljatib, Christian ; Saner, Philippe ; Schall, Peter ; Schelhaas, Mart-Jan ; Schepaschenko, Dmitry ; Scherer-Lorenzen, Michael ; Schmid, Bernhard ; Schöngart, Jochen ; Searle, Eric B. ; Seben, Vladimír ; Serra-Diaz, Josep M. ; Sheil, Douglas ; Shvidenko, Anatoly Z. ; Silva-Espejo, Javier E. ; Silveira, Marcos ; Singh, James ; Sist, Plinio ; Slik, Ferry ; Sonké, Bonaventure ; Souza, Alexandre F. ; Stereńczak, Krzysztof J. ; Svenning, Jens-Christian ; Svoboda, Miroslav ; Swanepoel, Ben ; Targhetta, Natalia ; Tchebakova, Nadja ; ter Steege, Hans ; Thomas, Raquel ; Tikhonova, Elena ; Umunay, Peter M. ; Usoltsev, Vladimir A. ; Valencia, Renato ; Valladares, Fernando ; van der Plas, Fons ; Van Do, Tran ; van Nuland, Michael E. ; Vasquez, Rodolfo M. ; Verbeeck, Hans ; Viana, Helder ; Vibrans, Alexander C. ; Vieira, Simone ; von Gadow, Klaus ; Wang, Hua-Feng ; Watson, James V. ; Werner, Gijsbert D. A. ; Wiser, Susan K. ; Wittmann, Florian ; Woell, Hannsjoerg ; Wortel, Verginia ; Zagt, Roderik ; Zawiła-Niedźwiecki, Tomasz ; Zhang, Chunyu ; Zhao, Xiuhai ; Zhou, Mo ; Zhu, Zhi-Xin ; Zo-Bi, Irie C. ; Gann, George D. ; Crowther, Thomas W.:
Integrated global assessment of the natural forest carbon potential.
In: Nature. Bd. 624 (2023) . - S. 92-101.
ISSN 1476-4687
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1038/s41586-023-06723-z

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Abstract

Forests are a substantial terrestrial carbon sink, but anthropogenic changes in land use and climate have considerably reduced the scale of this system1. Remote-sensing estimates to quantify carbon losses from global forests are characterized by considerable uncertainty and we lack a comprehensive ground-sourced evaluation to benchmark these estimates. Here we combine several ground-sourced and satellite-derived approaches to evaluate the scale of the global forest carbon potential outside agricultural and urban lands. Despite regional variation, the predictions demonstrated remarkable consistency at a global scale, with only a 12% difference between the ground-sourced and satellite-derived estimates. At present, global forest carbon storage is markedly under the natural potential, with a total deficit of 226 Gt (model range = 151–363 Gt) in areas with low human footprint. Most (61%, 139 Gt C) of this potential is in areas with existing forests, in which ecosystem protection can allow forests to recover to maturity. The remaining 39% (87 Gt C) of potential lies in regions in which forests have been removed or fragmented. Although forests cannot be a substitute for emissions reductions, our results support the idea that the conservation, restoration and sustainable management of diverse forests offer valuable contributions to meeting global climate and biodiversity targets.