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Hoffmeister, Susanne ; Rambau, Jörg:
Strategy Optimization in Sports : A Two-Scale Approach via Markov Decision Problems.
Bayreuth
,
2015
. - 31 S.
Abstract
We present a paradigm to model sports strategy optimization via Markov Decision Problems (MDP). If one employs a detailed model, optimal policies can be prohibitive to compute. If one chooses a rather aggregated model, input probabilities can be impossible to determine. We suggest a way-out: To answer questions about optimal policies, we employ an accessible aggregated model. Its critical input parameters are estimated by simulations in a detailed model whose input parameters can be derived from observations during training hours. As an example, we characterize when risky play is better than safe play in beach volleyball.