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Climate sensitive designs for policy makers: How LES model resolution affects accuracy in capturing urban micro-scale weather during heatwaves

Titelangaben

Sungur, Leyla ; Babel, Wolfgang ; Späte, Eva ; Schneider, Johann ; Thomas, Christoph:
Climate sensitive designs for policy makers: How LES model resolution affects accuracy in capturing urban micro-scale weather during heatwaves.
In: Urban Climate. Bd. 61 (2025) . - 102400.
ISSN 2212-0955
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.uclim.2025.102400

Volltext

Link zum Volltext (externe URL): Volltext

Angaben zu Projekten

Projekttitel:
Offizieller Projekttitel
Projekt-ID
Minderung Städtischer Klima- und Ozonrisiken, Verbundprojekt Klimawandel und Gesundheit
K3-8503-PN 18-17

Projektfinanzierung: Andere
Bayerisches Staatsministerium für Umwelt und Verbraucherschutz Bayerisches Staatsministerium für Gesundheit und Lebensmittelsicherheit

Abstract

Climate sensitive designs have been implemented recently in science to fill the niche of developing scientific tools to help mitigating urban heat island effects. A model capable of identifying hot and cool spots and testing adaptation and mitigation strategies to form recommendations for policy makers is in high demand. We present a novel two-step validation approach using 1) absolute comparison and 2) space-time evaluation of model performance across resolutions and against observations ensemble-averaged for representative urban microclimate types. Two Large Eddy Simulation (LES) models with 5 m and 20 m resolution are evaluated against a 14-point measurement station network during an extreme heatwave in Germany. To show space time behavior relationship between model and measurements, multiresolution decomposition (MRD) was used to investigate air temperature, specific humidity, and wind speed across time scales ranging from 11.25 to 180 min. The MRD analysis revealed strong correlations between stations with similar microclimatic conditions. Increasing model resolution did not uniformly improve accuracy across all climate elements; wind speed showed the greatest benefit from higher resolution. Absolute comparisons between simulations and observations demonstrated well-represented diurnal cycles for 5 m wind speed, whereas scalar variables remained sensitive to land surface parameterization. The simulated specific humidity exhibited deviations from measurements and nighttime air temperature tended to be overestimated. Space-time behavior instead was generally well captured except for nighttime specific humidity. This study contributes to correctly identifying and quantifying urban heat effects during extremes and supports urban planners and decision-makers in evaluating modeling tools for spatial planning.

Weitere Angaben

Publikationsform: Artikel in einer Zeitschrift
Begutachteter Beitrag: Ja
Keywords: LES simulation; Model validation; Multiresolution decomposition; PALM-4 U; Urban heat modeling; Urban health; Recommendation for policy makers
Institutionen der Universität: Fakultäten > Fakultät für Biologie, Chemie und Geowissenschaften
Fakultäten > Fakultät für Biologie, Chemie und Geowissenschaften > Fachgruppe Geowissenschaften
Fakultäten > Fakultät für Biologie, Chemie und Geowissenschaften > Fachgruppe Geowissenschaften > Professur Mikrometeorologie
Fakultäten > Fakultät für Biologie, Chemie und Geowissenschaften > Fachgruppe Geowissenschaften > Professur Mikrometeorologie > Professur Mikrometeorologie - Univ.-Prof. Dr. Christoph K. Thomas
Profilfelder > Advanced Fields > Ökologie und Umweltwissenschaften
Profilfelder > Advanced Fields > Nichtlineare Dynamik
Titel an der UBT entstanden: Ja
Themengebiete aus DDC: 500 Naturwissenschaften und Mathematik
500 Naturwissenschaften und Mathematik > 550 Geowissenschaften, Geologie
Eingestellt am: 22 Apr 2025 06:09
Letzte Änderung: 22 Apr 2025 06:09
URI: https://eref.uni-bayreuth.de/id/eprint/93335