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Balancing the Unknown: Exploring Human Reliance on AI Advice Under Aleatoric and Epistemic Uncertainty

Title data

Holstein, Joshua ; Böcking, Lars ; Spitzer, Philipp ; Kühl, Niklas ; Vössing, Michael ; Satzger, Gerhard:
Balancing the Unknown: Exploring Human Reliance on AI Advice Under Aleatoric and Epistemic Uncertainty.
In: ACM Transactions on Computer-Human Interaction. (26 August 2025) .
ISSN 1557-7325
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1145/3762813

Official URL: Volltext

Abstract in another language

Artificial intelligence systems increasingly support decision-making across a broad range of domains. The complexity of real-world tasks, however, introduces uncertainty into the prediction capabilities of these systems. This uncertainty can manifest as aleatoric uncertainty arising from inherent variability in outcomes or epistemic uncertainty stemming from limitations in the AI system's knowledge. While prior research has investigated uncertainty as a monolithic concept, the distinct effects of communicating aleatoric or epistemic uncertainty on humans and their reliance behavior remain unexplored. In this work, we present two behavioral experiments that systematically examine how participants rely on AI advice when faced with different types of uncertainty. While the first experiment manipulates the source of uncertainty, specifying it as either aleatoric or epistemic, the second decomposes uncertainty into its individual components, presenting aleatoric and epistemic uncertainty simultaneously. This work contributes to a deeper understanding of the multifaceted impact of different uncertainty types on human-AI interaction.

Further data

Item Type: Article in a journal
Refereed: Yes
Keywords: Computing methodologies; Artificial intelligence; Human-centered computing; Human computer interaction (HCI); Empirical studies in HCI
Institutions of the University: Faculties
Faculties > Faculty of Law, Business and Economics
Faculties > Faculty of Law, Business and Economics > Department of Business Administration
Faculties > Faculty of Law, Business and Economics > Department of Business Administration > Chair Business Informatics and Human-Centered Artificial Intelligence
Faculties > Faculty of Law, Business and Economics > Department of Business Administration > Chair Business Informatics and Human-Centered Artificial Intelligence > Chair Business Informatics and Human-Centered Artificial Intelligence - Univ.-Prof. Dr.-Ing. Niklas Kühl
Research Institutions
Research Institutions > Central research institutes > Research Center for AI in Science and Society
Research Institutions > Affiliated Institutes
Research Institutions > Affiliated Institutes > Branch Business and Information Systems Engineering of Fraunhofer FIT
Research Institutions > Affiliated Institutes > FIM Research Center for Information Management
Research Institutions > Central research institutes
Result of work at the UBT: Yes
DDC Subjects: 000 Computer Science, information, general works > 004 Computer science
300 Social sciences > 330 Economics
Date Deposited: 15 Sep 2025 07:21
Last Modified: 06 Nov 2025 11:29
URI: https://eref.uni-bayreuth.de/id/eprint/94666