Towards turnpike-based performance analysis of risk-averse stochastic predictive control

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Schießl, Jonas ; Ou, Ruchuan ; Baumann, Michael Heinrich ; Faulwasser, Timm ; Grüne, Lars:
Towards turnpike-based performance analysis of risk-averse stochastic predictive control.
In: 2025 IEEE 64th Conference on Decision and Control (CDC) : Proceedings. - Rio de Janeiro, Brazil , 2025 . - S. 329-335
ISBN 979-8-3315-2627-6
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1109/CDC57313.2025.11312994

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Abstract

In this paper, we present performance estimates for stochastic economic MPC schemes with risk-averse cost formulations. For MPC algorithms with costs given by expectations, it was recently shown that the guaranteed near-optimal performance of abstract MPC in random variables coincides with its implementable variant using pathwise feedback. In general, this property does not extend to costs formulated in terms of risk measures. However, through a turnpike-based analysis, this paper demonstrates that for a particular class of risk measures, this result can still be leveraged to formulate an implementable risk-averse MPC scheme, resulting in near-optimal averaged performance.