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Rural households' vulnerability to drought and implications for resilience : Insights from Bushbuckridge, Mpumalanga, South Africa

Title data

Rusere, Farirai ; Hounguè, Nina Rholan ; Mkuhlani, Siyabusa ; Soropa, Gabriel ; Hunter, Lori ; Twine, Wayne ; Samimi, Cyrus:
Rural households' vulnerability to drought and implications for resilience : Insights from Bushbuckridge, Mpumalanga, South Africa.
In: Progress in Disaster Science. Vol. 29 (2026) . - 100520.
ISSN 2590-0617
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.pdisas.2026.100520

Official URL: Volltext

Project information

Project title:
Project's official title
Project's id
EXC 2052: Africa Multiple: Reconfiguring African Studies
390713894
Open Access Publizieren
No information

Project financing: Deutsche Forschungsgemeinschaft

Abstract in another language

The increasing frequency of droughts in southern Africa is placing pressure on resource-dependent populations and constraining their ability to build resilience. This study investigates how rural communities in Bushbuckridge, Mpumalanga, South Africa, perceive and respond to El Niño-induced droughts. Using a mixed-methods approach, including surveys and interviews, this research examines household awareness, sensitivity, and adaptive capacity, as well as the factors shaping these dimensions. The findings show that households with greater climate awareness better recognize the potential impacts of El Niño-related drought on agriculture, livestock, and the local economy. Households with members engaged in local non-farm activities or migrant labor displayed higher adaptive capacity but also greater vulnerability in terms of sensitivity, as reliance on external income often reduced on-farm labor and adaptation efforts. Social networks emerged as both an asset, facilitating the spread of adaptation information, and a liability, sometimes reinforcing misinformation and delaying the uptake of science-based strategies. Gender dynamics also influenced adaptive capacity, with male-headed households generally having more resources and labor to implement adaptation measures. These findings highlight that resilience is not solely determined by material resources but emerges from the interaction of awareness, livelihood diversification, social relations, and gendered access to assets. The study underscores the need for resilience initiatives that strengthen local extension services, improve risk communication, and engage social networks while addressing gendered constraints, in order to support timely, informed, and equitable drought adaptation in rural communities.

Further data

Item Type: Article in a journal
Refereed: Yes
Keywords: El Niño; Drought; Extreme weather; Adaptive capacity; Sensitivity; Rural communities
Institutions of the University: Faculties > Faculty of Biology, Chemistry and Earth Sciences
Faculties > Faculty of Biology, Chemistry and Earth Sciences > Department of Earth Sciences
Faculties > Faculty of Biology, Chemistry and Earth Sciences > Department of Earth Sciences > Professor Climatology
Faculties > Faculty of Biology, Chemistry and Earth Sciences > Department of Earth Sciences > Professor Climatology > Professor Climatology - Univ.-Prof. Dr. Cyrus Samimi
Profile Fields > Advanced Fields > African Studies
Profile Fields > Advanced Fields > Ecology and the Environmental Sciences
Research Institutions > Central research institutes > Bayreuth Center of Ecology and Environmental Research- BayCEER
Research Institutions > Central research institutes > Institute of African Studies - IAS
Research Institutions > Collaborative Research Centers, Research Unit > EXC 2052 - Africa Multiple: Afrikastudien neu gestalten
Result of work at the UBT: Yes
DDC Subjects: 500 Science > 500 Natural sciences
900 History and geography
900 History and geography > 910 Geography, travel
Date Deposited: 30 Jan 2026 08:51
Last Modified: 30 Jan 2026 08:51
URI: https://eref.uni-bayreuth.de/id/eprint/95932