The impact of a missing school graduation cohort on the training market

Title data

Dorner, Matthias ; Görlitz, Katja ; Jahn, Elke:
The impact of a missing school graduation cohort on the training market.
In: Economics of Education Review. Vol. 103 (2024) . - 102580.
ISSN 1873-7382
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.econedurev.2024.102580

Official URL:

Abstract in another language

This study analyzes whether the training market responds to a reduced supply of trainees by decreasing the number of hired trainees and increasing their wages based on administrative data. The empirical identification uses exogenous regional and time variation in the occurrence of a missing school graduation cohort that shifts the supply of potential trainees downwards. The results show that the missing cohort decreases new hires by 10 % and raises wages by 1 %. Further robustness results reveal that the opposite case of excess supply (that is caused by dual cohorts) increases hirings and decreases wages. Our results also document that high and low wage firms respond differently to the supply shocks. While only high wage firms stop hiring when labor supply decreases, it is the low wage firms who hire a larger number of trainees in case of excess supply.

Further data

Item Type:	Article in a journal
Refereed:	Yes
Keywords:	Training wages; Hiring trainees; Missing cohort; High and low wage firms; Firm heterogeneity; Dual cohort
Institutions of the University:	Faculties > Faculty of Law, Business and Economics > Department of Economics > Professor Labour Economics Faculties > Faculty of Law, Business and Economics > Department of Economics > Professor Labour Economics > Professor Labour Economics - Univ.-Prof. Dr. Elke Jahn
Result of work at the UBT:	Yes
DDC Subjects:	300 Social sciences > 330 Economics 300 Social sciences > 370 Education
Date Deposited:	10 Oct 2025 07:58
Last Modified:	10 Oct 2025 07:58
URI:	https://eref.uni-bayreuth.de/id/eprint/94866